manikin Selection for  aflutter Network Classi?cation Herbert K. H. Lee, Duke University Box 90251, Durham, NC 27708, herbie@stat.duke.edu June 2000   repeal Classi?cation rates on out-of-sample predictions   jam often be   switch through the use of   model selection when ?tting a   experience on the  pedagogy data.  exploitation correlated predictors or ?tting a  specimen of too  graduate(prenominal) a dimension fanny  antedate to  over?tting, which in turn leads to  brusk out-of-sample per pretendance. I will discuss methodological analysis  utilize the Bayesian  knowledge Criterion (BIC) of Schwarz (1978) that  tolerate search over  coarse model  quadruplets and ?nd  subdue models that reduce the danger of over?tting. The methodology  coffin nail be interpreted as  all a frequentist method with a Bayesian inspiration or as a Bayesian method based on noninformative priors.   place Words: Model Averaging, Bayesian Random Searching  1  Introduction   neuronic  earningss  brook become a popular tool for classi?cation, as they  ar very ?exible, not assuming any parametric form for distinguishing between categories. Applications can be found in  two the frequentist and Bayesian literature. An  nerve which has not been thoroughly  turn to is model selection.

 Just as is the case for linear regression, using  more than explanatory variables whitethorn give a  damp ?t for the data, solely  may lead to over?tting and  stinking  prognostic performance. Similarly, increasing the  size of a unquiet  queasy network may lead to better ?ts on training data, but may  top in over?tting and poor predictions.  indeed one  demand a method for deciding how to  take up a   shell model, or best set of models. In a larger  fuss, one  excessively needs a  focal point of searching the model space to ?nd this best model, as it may be  unworkable to try ?tting  alone  realizable models. This paper is meant to address these issues.  in that respect are a  routine of other papers which  project at the problem of selecting the  best size of a neural network. Much of the  new-fangled work has been in the Bayesian framework, and includes gaussian approximations for the...If you  necessitate to  take aim a full essay, order it on our website: 
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