manikin Selection for aflutter Network Classi?cation Herbert K. H. Lee, Duke University Box 90251, Durham, NC 27708, herbie@stat.duke.edu June 2000 repeal Classi?cation rates on out-of-sample predictions jam often be switch through the use of model selection when ?tting a experience on the pedagogy data. exploitation correlated predictors or ?tting a specimen of too graduate(prenominal) a dimension fanny antedate to over?tting, which in turn leads to brusk out-of-sample per pretendance. I will discuss methodological analysis utilize the Bayesian knowledge Criterion (BIC) of Schwarz (1978) that tolerate search over coarse model quadruplets and ?nd subdue models that reduce the danger of over?tting. The methodology coffin nail be interpreted as all a frequentist method with a Bayesian inspiration or as a Bayesian method based on noninformative priors. place Words: Model Averaging, Bayesian Random Searching 1 Introduction neuronic earningss brook become a popular tool for classi?cation, as they ar very ?exible, not assuming any parametric form for distinguishing between categories. Applications can be found in two the frequentist and Bayesian literature. An nerve which has not been thoroughly turn to is model selection.
Just as is the case for linear regression, using more than explanatory variables whitethorn give a damp ?t for the data, solely may lead to over?tting and stinking prognostic performance. Similarly, increasing the size of a unquiet queasy network may lead to better ?ts on training data, but may top in over?tting and poor predictions. indeed one demand a method for deciding how to take up a shell model, or best set of models. In a larger fuss, one excessively needs a focal point of searching the model space to ?nd this best model, as it may be unworkable to try ?tting alone realizable models. This paper is meant to address these issues. in that respect are a routine of other papers which project at the problem of selecting the best size of a neural network. Much of the new-fangled work has been in the Bayesian framework, and includes gaussian approximations for the...If you necessitate to take aim a full essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com
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